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050 4 _aHG4910
_b.S457 2005
090 _aHG 4910 .S457 2005
100 1 _aShiller, Robert J.
_999479
245 1 0 _aIrrational exuberance
_cRobert J. Shiller
250 _a2nd ed.
260 _aNew York, NY:
_bCurrency/Doubleday,
_c2005
300 _axxvii, 304 p.:
_bill.;
_c24 cm.
336 _2rdacontent
_atext
_btxt
337 _2rdamedia
_aunmediated
_bn
338 _2rdacarrier
_avolume
_bnc
504 _aIncludes bibliographical references (p.271-286) and index.
500 _aOriginally published: Princeton, NJ : Princeton University Press, c2000. in hardcover edition.
500 _a"With new material on the real estate bubble." -- Cover.
505 0 _aThe stock market in historical perspective -- The real estate market in historical perspective -- Precipitating factors: the capital explosion, the internet, and other events -- Amplification mechanisms: naturally occuring Ponzi processes -- The news media -- New era economic thinking -- New eras and bubbles around the world -- Psychological anchors for the market -- Herd behavior and epidemics -- Efficient markets, random walks, and bubbles -- Investor learning and unlearning -- Speculative volatility in a free society.
520 _aTaking his book's title and thesis from Alan Greenspan's 1996 description of investors, Shiller (economics, Yale Univ.) studies the current booming U.S. stock market in historical terms. His research into past U.S. and international markets indicates that during every speculative bubble there was always widespread consensus that high valuations were justified by each market's special circumstances. Every large market correction seemed to result from popular consensus rather than specific events or news. Shiller says that past bull and bear markets, though often based initially on sound fundamental reasoning, fed upon themselves to go beyond what the facts justified. He challenges the efficient market theory, demonstrating that markets cannot be explained historically by the movement of company earnings or dividends. He concludes that the current U.S. stock market is a speculative bubble awaiting correction. While the book certainly belongs in all academic business collections, public libraries should also purchase it as a counterweight to the plethora of get-rich-quick investment guides.Lawrence R. Maxted, Gannon Univ., Erie, PA Copyright 2000 Cahners Business Information, Inc. From: Reed Elsevier Inc.
650 0 _aStocks
_zUnited States
_9109134
650 0 _aStock exchanges
_zUnited States
_9109136
650 0 _aStocks
_xPrices
_zUnited States
_9109138
650 0 _aRisk
_9109139
650 0 _aDow Jones industrial average.
_969588
852 _y03-02-2008
907 _a20599
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